Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000057 0.000064
2024-10-06 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080
2024-10-13 0.000021 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000060 0.000076 0.000097
2024-10-20 0.000018 0.000024 0.000033 0.000045 0.000061 0.000081 0.000107
2024-10-27 0.000016 0.000023 0.000032 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000121
2024-11-03 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000065 0.000093 0.000131
2024-11-10 0.000012 0.000020 0.000030 0.000046 0.000069 0.000101 0.000147
2024-11-17 0.000011 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000072 0.000108 0.000161
2024-11-24 0.000011 0.000018 0.000030 0.000048 0.000075 0.000115 0.000176
2024-12-01 0.000009 0.000017 0.000028 0.000047 0.000076 0.000119 0.000186
2024-12-08 0.000008 0.000016 0.000027 0.000046 0.000077 0.000123 0.000196
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000047 0.000079 0.000129 0.000210
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000015 0.000027 0.000048 0.000084 0.000139 0.000230
2024-12-29 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000049 0.000086 0.000146 0.000246
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000050 0.000091 0.000156 0.000267
2025-01-12 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000049 0.000090 0.000158 0.000276
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000049 0.000093 0.000166 0.000293
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000048 0.000093 0.000170 0.000305
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000050 0.000097 0.000180 0.000327
2025-02-09 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000050 0.000101 0.000188 0.000348
2025-02-16 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000051 0.000104 0.000197 0.000369
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000104 0.000201 0.000381
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000050 0.000105 0.000205 0.000393